Southeast Asian kidney beans exporters face a perplexing contradiction in 2026. While external market research consistently projects robust global growth—Cognitive Market Research forecasts a 13.1% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2026 to 2033 [1], and Polaris Market Research estimates 14.6% CAGR over the same period [3]—Alibaba.com platform data reveals a starkly different reality. Trade volume in 2025 declined by 12.85% year-over-year, with export amounts dropping by 9.73%. This divergence suggests that Southeast Asian suppliers are not effectively capturing the expanding global opportunity.
Further analysis of platform metrics deepens this paradox. The AB rate (active buyer rate) decreased by 43.92%, indicating significantly fewer buyers completing transactions. Simultaneously, the average product AB count plummeted by 52.69%, suggesting that individual product listings are attracting dramatically less buyer engagement. However, the number of sellers increased by 19.23%, creating intensified competition in a shrinking transaction environment. This combination of declining buyer activity and increasing seller presence has driven the supply-demand ratio down by 38.21%, placing downward pressure on pricing and profitability.
Alibaba.com Kidney Beans Market Performance Indicators (2025 YoY Change)
| Metric | Year-over-Year Change | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Trade Volume | -12.85% | Declining transaction activity |
| AB Rate | -43.92% | Fewer buyers completing purchases |
| Average Product AB Count | -52.69% | Reduced product-level engagement |
| Seller Count | +19.23% | Increased competition |
| Supply-Demand Ratio | -38.21% | Market oversupply relative to demand |

